May 19, 2024

According to the National Hurricane Center, a tropical storm warning has been issued from Port Mansfield, Texas, to Boca de Catan, Mexico. The National Hurricane Center has classified a system in the southern Gulf of Mexico, about 400 miles south-southeast of the mouth of the Rio Grande, as Potential Tropical Cyclone Four. This system is the subject of the warnings.

Before a system is officially designated, the hurricane centre utilises the possible tropical storm designation to issue warnings for it.

The Hurricane Center stated in its forecast discussion that the system “is likely to develop further and make landfall as a tropical storm in less than 36 hours.” Tropical storm warnings have also been issued for parts of the coasts of northeastern Mexico and South Texas.

Regardless of how it develops, the system is predicted to bring extremely southern Texas and northeastern Mexico a lot of rain. Up to eight inches of rain could fall in Mexico, and one to three inches are predicted for far South Texas.

The rest of the arid Southwest, which is experiencing a long-term megadrought, is preparing for a moderate risk of heavy rainfall that might cause flash floods on Friday and Saturday. This danger is Level 3 of 4.

The Southwest US is expected to see a multi-day major rainfall event this weekend, according to the Weather Prediction Center. “Impactful rainfall with storm total amounts of 5-6 inches is most possible across portions of southeast Arizona into southwest New Mexico.”

Through Saturday, flood warnings are in effect for around 10 million people in the Southwest, including Tucson, Phoenix, Albuquerque, and El Paso.